Southern Regional Summary

Review of 2007 and Outlook for 2008

 

In the first nine months of 2007, total nonfarm employment in the Southern Region averaged a record high 834,500, up by 8,300 jobs or 1.0 percent from the previous year.  This year, the region’s payrolls expanded at the same rate as in 2006 (1.0%).  In 2007, the region added jobs at a slightly faster pace than the state (+0.5%).

 

This year, employment gains were concentrated in the Camden Labor Area (+10,400), consisting of Burlington, Camden and Gloucester counties, followed by Cape May (+500), Salem (+100) and Cumberland counties (+100).  Employment declined this year in Atlantic County (-2,800), as payrolls at Atlantic City’s casino hotels were negatively impacted by several factors including closure of the Sands hotel casino, increased competition from slot parlors in Pennsylvania, a partial smoking ban inside the city’s casinos and reorganization layoffs at the Tropicana hotel casino.

 

The Southern Region added 100 more jobs in the first nine months of 2007 than in the same period of 2006.  Accelerated employment gains in the Camden Labor Area were mainly responsible for the region’s additional job growth this year.  In 2007, the Camden Labor Area added 3,300 more jobs than in 2006.  This was almost enough to make up for the difference (-3,800) between the Atlantic City Labor Area’s 1,000-job gain in 2006 and the area’s 2,800-job loss in 2007.  The balance was made up by employment gains this year in Cape May (+600) and Cumberland Counties (+300); areas which sustained job losses in 2006.  Salem County added 300 fewer jobs in 2007 than in 2006.

 

In the region, service-providing sector gains (+10,600), were more than sufficient to offset losses in the goods-producing sector (-2,300).  Among the service providing supersectors for which data are available for all labor areas1, gains were recorded by trade, transportation & utilities (+2,800), government (+2,200) and educational & health services (+2,100), while employment declined in leisure & hospitality (-300).  The other services, professional & business services, financial activities supersectors also posted substantial gains, based on labor areas for which data are available.

 

 

1.       It is not possible to break out nonfarm employment for all NAICS supersectors for the Southern Region because a complete breakout is not available for Cape May County (the Ocean City Labor Area).

 

 

Atlantic City Labor Area

Review of 2007 and Outlook for 2008

Atlantic County

 

The Atlantic City Labor Area’s level of nonfarm wage and salary employment fell to an average 150,400 during the first nine months of 2007, a drop of -2,800 or -1.8 percent from the same period a year ago.  In a similar comparison, employment in the state increased by 0.5 percent.  This is the first over the year decline since the county’s payrolls slipped to a recession-induced low point of 146,400 in 2002, and largely reflects losses in the gaming industry.  Overall, county payrolls are up by 4,000 since 2002, a gain of 2.7 percent that matched the state’s percent increase over the same five-year period. 

 

Employment in the gaming industry declined by 2,700 during 2007.  While the most significant setback for the industry was the November 2006 closing of the Sands hotel casino, which eliminated 2,100 jobs, there also were significant layoffs during 2007 at the Tropicana hotel casino, which changed ownership in January.  The over the year slip in gaming industry payrolls occurred despite the jobs created by the completion of the first phase of a $550-million expansion of Harrah’s hotel casino that added 172,000-sq.ft. of retail, dining and entertainment space.  Also, the estimated 1,500 jobs added in July 2006 by a $200-million expansion of the Borgata hotel casino had a greater positive impact on the nine-month average for 2007

 

At an average 39,500 for the first nine months of 2007, hotel-casino employment is at its lowest level since 1986 and well below its peak nine-month average of 47,800 in 1998.  Except for a small spike upward in 2003 due to the opening of the Borgata hotel casino, gaming industry payrolls have trended downward since 1998 due to several factors -- most recently the competitive pressure brought about by the opening of the Borgata, labor-saving advances such as coin-less slot machines and the impact of takeovers, mergers and other management restructurings.  The latest takeover target, Harrah’s Entertainment, owns four Atlantic City casinos (Harrah’s, Showboat, Bally’s and Caesars) and controls about 40 percent of Atlantic City’s $5.2-billion-a-year gaming market.  The private equity firms Apollo Management and Texas Pacific are expected to complete the acquisition of Harrah’s by the end of 2007.

 

The other notable employment setback during 2007 was in construction where a drop of 600 jobs reduced payrolls to an average 6,500.  After holding steady at an average 6,600 from 2003 to 2005, construction payrolls jumped to an average 7,100 during 2006.   Overall, construction employment has held up well since the completion of the new Borgata hotel casino in 2003 largely due to major expansions within the gaming industry (e.g. Tropicana hotel-casino ($300-million), The Pier at Caesars ($200-million), Borgata ($600-million), Harrah’s ($550-million) and Trump Taj Mahal ($250-million), and until recently, a steady pace of residential development.

 

The county’s largest employment gain was posted in retail trade (+500) during 2007. The most notable contributors of new retail jobs were located within The Walk, an outlet-style retail, dining, entertainment attraction located along Atlantic City’s gateway corridor, and The Pier at Caesars, a similar but more upscale development on the Boardwalk.   Overall, retail trade employment has moved steadily upward adding 1,300 jobs since 2002.

 

Smaller but still notable job gains were posted over the year in transportation, warehousing & utilities (+200), financial activities (+200) and education, health & social services (+100).  Financial activities employment, which has benefited from the establishment of smaller, community-style banks, expanded to an average 4,700 in 2007, a gain of 17.5 percent since 2003.  Employment in transportation, warehousing & utilities, which has fluctuated between 2,800 and 3,100 since the year 2000, currently stands at 3,000.  The employment rise in educational, health & social services during 2007, the sixth straight yearly increase, brings the total job gain to 2,800 or 18.1 percent since 2001.

 

The decline in nonfarm payroll employment during 2007 helped increase the county’s unemployment rate to an average 6.0 percent through the first three quarters of 2007, up slightly from an average 5.8 percent for the same period a year ago.  In comparison, the state’s unemployment rate fell to an average 4.4 percent from 4.9 in 2006.  While the labor area’s unemployment rate tends to be higher than the state’s on average due to its seasonal swings in employment, the gap has gradually narrowed due to the impact of the year round gaming industry.

 

The outlook for employment growth in the Atlantic City Labor Area during 2008 is mixed.  The completion of several major hotel casino expansions (Borgata 800 rooms, Harrah’s 960 rooms, Trump Taj Mahal 800 rooms) during the year will simultaneously create hundreds of hotel casino jobs and idle hundreds of construction workers.  Another large construction project slated for completion in 2008 is a $128-million expansion of the AtlantiCare Regional Medical Center in Atlantic City.  The seven-story, 198,000-sq.ft. addition is expected to result in 50 new healthcare positions.

 

For construction employment, another cloud on the horizon is a slowing in the issuance of building permits for new residential construction through the first eight months of 2007 (latest data available).  Housing units authorized in Atlantic County totaled 889 through August 2007, down 528 or 37.3 percent from the same period a year ago.  This suggests that new residential construction was slowing before the fallout from recent developments in the sub prime mortgage market.

 

As for the possible impact of new private equity ownership on employment levels at the four Harrah’s-owned hotel casinos (Harrah’s, Showboat, Caesars and Bally’s) in 2008, company officials have indicated that layoffs are not expected.  Developments that could impact employment levels in Atlantic City’s gaming industry going forward include the fact that casino dealers and related workers at four hotel casinos recently voted in favor of union representation, and that state regulators have given preliminary approval for testing of electronic table games, some of which do not require a live dealer.

 

While in the near term the outlook for employment growth in the Atlantic City Labor Area is guarded, the future appears to be shaping up rather nicely since at least two (possibly three) new hotel casino projects could begin construction in 2008 or 2009.  The largest of the planned hotel casino projects is the $5-billion, MGM Grand Atlantic City, which is expected to start construction in 2008 on a 72-acre site next to the Borgata hotel casino.  The project includes 3,000 rooms, 280,000-sq.ft. of gaming space, 500,000-sq.ft. of upscale retail and entertainment attractions, a world-class spa and a convention center.  Completion is targeted for 2012.

 

However, first out of the gate and first to the finish line might be a $2-billion hotel casino project by Revel Entertainment and a gambling subsidiary of Wall Street investment bank Morgan Stanley.  Planned for a 20-acre tract with boardwalk frontage just north of the Showboat hotel casino, the project’s design calls for 1,936 hotel rooms, 169,000-sq.ft. of casino space and 500,000-sq.ft. of retail, dining and entertainment space.  Revel officials announced in September that they have applied for state environmental permits and filed a site-plan application.  A grand opening is scheduled for 2011.

 

Finally, the new owners of the Sands hotel casino (Pinnacle Entertainment Inc.) imploded the gaming hall in October 2007 to make way for a $1.5-billion hotel casino.  Although environmental testing of the site is complete, Pinnacle officials have not yet revealed a design or a construction start date.  The possibility of building a large hotel casino on the site was boosted when the Sands (prior to being acquired) purchased an adjacent ocean front parcel of land in the heart of the Boardwalk casino strip.

 

The outlook for construction employment hinges on the movement of announced projects through the planning, design and approval pipeline, but it appears unlikely that enough projects will come on line quickly enough to avoid a decline in construction employment during the second half of 2008.  Even a new hotel casino construction project is not particularly labor intensive in its earliest stages.

 

There were other positive signs for Atlantic City’s ongoing transformation into a destination resort during 2007.  The major stakeholder in The Pier at Caesars, a $200-million, largely upscale retail and dining complex, indicated that the development was an “overwhelming success” in its first year of operation.  Also, developers of The Walk, the outlet-style retail development with restaurants and entertainment attractions located along the city’s gateway corridor, have announced plans for a $120-million expansion in 2008 that will nearly double the size of the shopping district, and may include residential units. The Walk currently features over 80 merchants that occupy 345,000-sq.ft. of space.   In addition, the owners of the city’s Central Pier have announced plans to redevelop the pier and a tract of land between St. James Place and South Carolina Avenue into a retail, dining and entertainment attraction.  The $75-million project is expected to take three years.  Finally, the city’s Holiday Inn and neighboring Howard Johnson hotel will be combined and undergo a $93-million makeover.  Renamed the Chelsea, the upscale, boutique-style hotel will reopen before the summer of 2008 and target younger, wealthier visitors.

 

While the Atlantic City Labor Area’s level of nonfarm payroll employment may return to an upward trajectory in 2008, the big news is that the coming year could see construction begin on one or more major hotel casino projects.  Continued progress on the casino development front during 2008 would send a powerful signal that investor interest in Atlantic City remains strong.

 

For more information on the Atlantic City Labor Area, please contact Chester Sherman, by e-mail at csherman@dol.state.nj.us or call 609-292-7281.

 

 

Camden Labor Area

Review 2007 and Outlook for 2008

Burlington, Camden and Gloucester Counties

 

Total nonfarm employment in the Camden Labor Area increased by 10,400 to reach a record high average level of 551,300 in the first nine months of 2007.  Job levels in the labor area grew by 1.9 percent over the period, an increase over last year’s gain (1.3%).  This year, jobholding in the area grew faster than the state’s rate (0.5%).

 

In the first nine months of 2007, gains in the area’s private service-providing sector (+9,500) were tempered somewhat by losses in the goods-producing sector (-1,500).  The private service-providing gain resulted from increases in leisure and hospitality (+2,100), trade, transportation & utilities (+1,700), professional & business services (+1,700), educational & health services (+1,700), other services (+1,700) and financial activities (+800).  These gains were partially offset by losses in information (-200).

 

Within leisure & hospitality, most of the gain stemmed from hiring spread broadly across the arts, entertainment & recreation sector which includes enterprises that entertain patrons such as the Adventure Aquarium and the Camden Riversharks minor-league baseball team in Camden as well as recreational facilities where the public actively participates including fitness centers and golf courses.  Employment in the accommodation & food services sector increased by 900, mainly because more restaurants and other places that sell prepared food opened.  While many of the new jobs were at casual sit-down restaurants or at traditional fast-food places that serve complete meals, growth was also seen at businesses that mainly serve snacks or nonalcoholic drinks.  For instance, several Starbucks coffee shops and Rita’s water ice shops opened across the area.  Other food service businesses experiencing growth included caterers that provide food for parties and contract food service companies that operate school or company cafeterias.

 

In trade, transportation & utilities, all of the recorded net increase was in retail trade (+1,800).  Employment rose because retailers added workers and because more stores were open during the first nine months of 2007 compared with the same time in 2006.  Although relatively few stores opened this year, several opened in the last three months of 2006, including a Boscov’s department store in Deptford (+300) and a Target department store (+200) and several smaller shops at the Town Square Plaza shopping center in Gloucester Township.  These retailers contributed to this year’s employment gains because they were not open during the first nine months of 2006.  In 2007 through September, most of the larger shopping facilities that opened were replacements for smaller stores.  For instance, a new auto mall opened along Rt. 73 in Mt. Laurel after the DiSimone BMW and Cadillac and Cherry Hill Lexus dealerships relocated there.  Together, the three dealerships added 50 employees after the move.  Also, Acme replaced its food store in Bordentown City with a supermarket located in a new strip center in Bordentown Township (+100).

 

Wholesale trade employment declined slightly (-100) as distributors restructured operations.  In the Camden Labor Area as in the rest of the nation, the trend in recent years has been for wholesale companies to close locations and consolidate to larger warehouses.  This is taking place partly because new technology allows distributors who invest in modern buildings to handle more goods with fewer personnel.  Across the country, companies have been closing older warehouses and moving to more centralized locations.  The net result for the labor area has been nearly a wash because the area is a good place to site warehouses since it is near major markets and has a good highway network.  Wholesalers with new locations in the area included deli meat and cheese distributor Dietz & Watson, which opened a refrigerated facility in Delanco in March (+100).  In August, Freightliner moved its Logan Township distribution center to new building and added 10 workers.  Companies that closed warehouses in the area included promotional items distributor Toppers, in West Deptford (-127).  This business closed in August after it merged with Covest Promotional Products and moved out of the area.

 

In professional & business services, gains were concentrated in administrative & support & waste management services (+3,200), as businesses outsourced more work.  The increases were mainly at companies that provide services to other businesses such as document preparation services, collection agencies, armored car services and firms that clean up environmental contamination.  Gains elsewhere in administrative & support & waste management services offset losses in employment services (-700), as payrolls dipped at temporary help agencies.  Slower economic growth was an important factor behind this decline.  Temporary workers are often hired when business is increasing quickly and it is not certain whether the extra work will last.  Companies retained fewer temporary workers in 2007 because production was growing slowly at many businesses which were able to meet their needs with permanent staff.

 

In educational & health services, employment gains were driven by hiring by health care providers within health care & social assistance (+1,800), as payrolls increased in ambulatory health care (+800), hospitals (+500) and nursing & residential care facilities (+500). The largest gains occurred at outpatient medical facilities which have become the favored means of dispensing care for patients, doctors and insurers alike.  Patients and doctors prefer outpatient care to hospitalization because treatment is provided quickly and patients are sent home the same day.  Insurers often specify it because treatment outside of hospitals is more cost-effective.  Technological advances have made it possible to treat more conditions in this manner.

 

Hospitals have been able to expand by emphasizing emergency medicine and departments that treat conditions normally requiring a hospital stay, ranging from intensive care to orthopedic surgery.  For example, Underwood-Memorial Hospital in Woodbury opened a 40-bed emergency room in June and added 40 workers.  Also, hospitals have used advertising to compete for patients considering elective procedures.

 

Most of the job gains in nursing & residential care facilities were at facilities that care for the elderly such as nursing homes, assisted living centers and continuing care retirement communities.  These facilities, which provide a range of housing and care options ranging from independent living apartments to skilled nursing care, expanded to accommodate the needs of the area’s older residents.  According to Census estimates, 152,600 people age 65 and over lived in the 3-county area in 2006 (most recent year available).

 

Enterprises within the other services supersector include companies doing repair work or providing personal services as well as religious, professional, political, social and civic organizations.  Within the broad classification, three industry groups experienced notable employment gains.  Businesses providing services for maintaining or changing personal appearance have proliferated as in general the public has become more attentive about personal appearance.  Among the businesses classified in the personal care services industry group are hair stylists, nail salons, tanning salons, weight loss centers and tattoo parlors.  Another group of businesses that have expanded are shops specializing in repairing non-automotive commercial and industrial machinery.  This grouping covers shops that fix equipment ranging from cleaning equipment to forklifts.  The number of positions at these repair shops have grown as the area becomes more economically developed and automation increases.  Payrolls also increased at private households as more affluent families hired servants to help with domestic chores. 

 

Financial activities employment rose, with gains concentrated in finance and insurance (+600).  The finance and insurance sector includes businesses dealing in insurance, securities and commodities as well as the companies engaged in banking and finance that are found within the credit intermediation industry group.  Payrolls rose primarily because insurance carriers and insurance agents employed more workers.  Gains elsewhere in finance and insurance were partially offset by losses within credit intermediation (-900).  Within this industry group, losses were posted by nondepository credit intermediation (-700) while employment rose in depository credit intermediation (+300).  Nondepository credit institutions make loans but do not accept deposits.  Most of the losses within this industry were at mortgage lenders, which cut staff as fewer home loans were granted.  There was less business at mortgage providers because fewer homes were sold and lending requirements were tightened.  Jobholding was up within depository credit as more bank branches opened across the area.  Banking companies that opened branches included Commerce Bank, Wachovia Bank and Citizens Bank.

 

In the goods-producing sector, payrolls declined in construction (-900) and manufacturing (-600).  Construction employment fell due to a slowdown in residential building as consumers bought fewer new homes.  Demand for new housing was down in 2007 for several reasons.  Mortgage companies have tightened lending requirements in the wake of rising defaults and this has reduced the pool of homebuyers who qualify for financing.  Also, new home prices have continued to rise in the area, although they are declining nationally.  This situation has caused some potential buyers to hesitate about committing to investing in homes that may be worth less in the future than they are today.  According to data from the state Department of Community Affairs, year-to-date through July 2007, 1,768 housing units were certified for occupancy in the Camden Labor Area, 495 fewer than for the same period in 2006.  In the quarter from April through June 2007, 472 new homes were sold, 39.1 percent fewer than for the same period last year (775).  Although fewer homes were sold in the area this year, the average price buyers paid rose by 7.0 percent to reach $398,712.

 

Nonresidential building activity remained strong during the year helping to soften the effects of a weakening residential housing market.  Work progressed on a variety of shopping center, office, warehouse and public works projects including the Deptford Landing shopping center in Deptford, the Voorhees Town Center mall reconstruction project in Voorhees, an office building at the Liberty Walk at East Gate office park in Mt. Laurel, the Christmas Tree Shops warehouse in Florence, and roadway resurfacing and overpass upgrades along a 10-mile segment of I-295 in Gloucester County. 

 

Manufacturing payrolls declined by 600 or 1.3 percent in the Camden Labor Area from 2006 to 2007.  This contrasts with a 400-job gain in the previous year.  Factory employment declined this year as some manufacturers consolidated operations and moved production to lower cost locations.  For instance, Metrologic Instruments ceased making scanning equipment in West Deptford in June and now manufacture its products in China (-108).  Other plants that produced items related to home construction closed or scaled back due to reduced demand because less housing was built nationwide.  Slack demand was one factor which led AFG Industries to close its factory in Cinnaminson in February (-190) that made glass used in residential doors and windows.  Also, US Pipe reduced production of cast-iron pipe used in water mains because fewer housing developments were being built.  The plant in Burlington City furloughed 36 workers this spring.

 

The area’s unemployment rate in the first nine months of 2007 averaged 4.4 percent, compared with 4.9 percent for the same period in 2006.  In the first nine months of 2007, the labor area’s resident labor force averaged 673,000, an increase of 3,600 from the same period in the previous year.  The average number of employed persons increased by 6,800 to reach 643,500 for the 2007 period and the number of unemployed persons actively seeking work declined by 3,200 to a an average level of 29,500 in 2007.  

 

The unemployment rate declined in 2007 as the number of employed workers increased while the number of unemployed persons declined.  This is an indication of a tightening labor market where jobseekers can find work more easily, but businesses have more difficulty finding qualified candidates to fill positions.  Companies in the three-county labor area have indicated that it is becoming harder to find qualified workers, particularly for jobs requiring licenses, special skills or training.  Examples of hard-to-fill jobs include tractor trailer driver and registered nurse.

 

Employment in the Camden Labor Area is expected to grow moderately in 2008 and the area is likely to add jobs at a slightly faster pace as the first nine months of 2007.  The largest job gains are anticipated to be in trade, transportation & utilities, professional & business services and educational & health care.  Little employment change is expected in construction.  Jobholding may decline in credit intermediation.

 

Trade, transportation & utilities job gains are likely to be spearheaded by retail trade as stores open in new or upgraded shopping centers.  Two major shopping center openings are expected through 2008.  Stores should begin to open in November at Deptford Landing in Deptford.  The center, anchored by Wal-Mart and Sam’s Club, is likely to generate 550 new jobs.  The Shoppes at Cinnaminson is slated to open in May 2008 along Route 130 in Cinnaminson (+450 jobs total).  A Shop-Rite supermarket signed on to anchor the center. 

 

The largest renovation project scheduled for completion this year is the enclosed shopping area at the Voorhees Town Center in Voorhees.  This building is the former Echelon Mall, which is being reconfigured and renovated.  A 600,000-sq.ft. section of the 37-year old mall was torn down.  The truncated center is being remodeled inside and out and will receive a new main entrance, enclosed courtyard and food court.  Work on the 660,000-sq.ft. enclosed shopping center should be completed by summer.  The mall remains open and its two anchors are occupied by Macy’s and Boscov’s department stores.  Most of the remaining space is now vacant and will probably be taken over by new stores once the work is done.  Existing businesses should also experience an upturn in customer traffic, creating additional job openings.  Altogether, about 400 new store jobs are expected result from this project.  Work on an outdoor shopping area has also started at the Voorhees Town Center property; however the first stores along this drive-through “shopping boulevard” probably won’t be ready to open until 2009.

 

Wholesale trade and transportation & warehousing payrolls should receive a boost as new distribution centers open.  More merchant wholesalers and distribution centers operated by retailers are expected to open in 2008, with openings concentrated in Burlington County.  Growth of Burlington County’s distribution businesses is being driven largely by two factors.  Advances in warehousing technology have caused distributors to seek out more modern buildings.  Since there is little space available for new warehouses near Exit 8 of the New Jersey Turnpike in Middlesex County, companies are now becoming more interested in opening facilities at locations close to other Turnpike exits including those in the northern part of Burlington County.  The Central Crossings Business Park in Bordentown Township is being developed with this trend in mind.  It is located between I-295 and Exit 7 of the Turnpike.  Two speculative warehouse buildings totaling 240,000-sq.ft. are under construction and slated for completion by spring 2008.  Another distribution center in northern Burlington County that is nearing completion is the Christmas Tree Shops building in Florence Township.  It features 70-foot ceilings making it the tallest warehouse in the state.  It will use an automated lift system to move merchandise through the building.  This facility is scheduled to open in January with 100 employees.  More warehouses are also expected to be built in other parts of the labor area, including the industrial parks in Gloucester County where many distributors are located.

 

Professional and business services employment is expected to increase in 2008 with gains anticipated in professional, scientific and technical services and in administrative, support & waste management services as companies continue to outsource more non-core tasks to other firms.  Growth should continue at types of businesses that have done well recently, such as building maintenance, security, packaging, direct mail or environmental remediation services.  Employment at professional firms is expected to grow as more condominium office parks are built across the area.  These developments feature drive-up offices in single story or two-story buildings favored by small professional practices.  Opportunities for smaller professional firms that serve individuals and small businesses are expected to improve in areas where more housing is being built, such as eastern Camden County and much of Burlington and Gloucester counties.  Most of the new professional office parks are being built along commercial strips near suburban housing developments.  While the availability of office space in itself does not create professional jobs, it makes it possible for firms to open or expand when conditions warrant.

 

Educational and health care employment is expected to increase, with most of the gain emanating from health care and social assistance as ambulatory health care facilities and homes for the elderly add staff.  Most of the gain at outpatient centers will probably come from hiring at existing clinics, although a few new locations are slated to open including the Kennedy Health & Wellness Center in November 2007 in Washington Township (Gloucester County).  This center, operated by the Kennedy Health System, will offer care from physicians in a full range of medical specialties, in addition to health education programs and a fitness center (+100 jobs).  The fitness center will be operated by Healthtrax International, which manages exercise centers at 39 health centers in 14 states.  Combining outpatient centers with health clubs is part of a national trend intended to improve patient wellbeing by promoting an active lifestyle.  Businesses that provide housing and care for older adults are expanding not only because the population of senior citizens in the area is increasing, but because the concept of elder care is changing.  No longer just operating as nursing homes for the frail elderly, many of the larger facilities have become “continuing care retirement communities” that offer a range of options ranging from independent housing where healthy retirees provide for their own needs to skilled nursing care for those that need the most help.  This way, operators have broadened their customer base by attracting younger seniors.  Hospital employment is also expected to increase as medical centers continue to invest in upgrading emergency rooms and facilities providing procedures usually performed on an in-patient basis such as orthopedic surgery and cancer treatment.

 

Construction employment will probably remain at about the same level in 2008 as in 2007 as job losses in residential building are canceled out by payrolls gains on nonresidential projects.  Homebuilding activity will probably trend downward slightly in 2008 based on data on housing units authorized by building permit as an indicator of future builder intentions.  According to the Census Bureau, 2,241 total housing units were authorized by building permit year-to-date through August 2007, 126 fewer than for the same period in the previous year, a decline of 5.3 percent.  The data indicate that a greater proportion of newly built housing units will be in multi-unit structures rather than single-family homes.  The number of single family houses authorized by building permits in 2007 declined by 17.5 percent while the number of units in multiple-unit structures rose by 106.0 percent.  Greater numbers of new condominiums and rental apartments are being built as a more affordable alternative to single-family homes which have become unobtainable for many area residents.

 

Although fewer homes are expected to be built in the area in 2008, work on other projects is expected to continue at a brisk pace.  Projects expected to be underway next year include a new wing at the Cooper University Hospital in Camden and scheduled work at the Voorhees Town Center in Voorhees.  On the agenda for the former Echelon Mall include interior and exterior renovations and construction of a “shopping boulevard” with store buildings and a drive-through main street where a demolished section of the enclosed shopping mall once stood.  Work on the hospital and the mall are expected to be completed in 2008 and the shopping boulevard project is expected to continue through 2009. 

 

Another large-scale shopping center project involves major renovations to the Cherry Hill Mall.   This mall in Cherry Hill will receive a new wing with a Nordstrom department store and parking garage connected to the existing mall by a two-story corridor containing 40 smaller stores.  The existing part of the mall will be completely remodeled inside and out.  Work on the Cherry Hill Mall will continue through 2008 and should be completed by spring 2009. 

 

Also, at Fort Dix and McGuire Air Force Base in Burlington County, work should continue on upgrading and replacing housing for troops and their families.  This project began in 2006 and by the time it is completed in 2012, is expected that 1,915 housing units will be demolished, over 1,600 units will be built and 500 units will be renovated.  These units include houses and apartments.

 

Credit intermediation payrolls may decline in 2008 as the area’s banks and finance companies continue to feel the effects of far-reaching problems related to adjustable rate subprime mortgages.  Most of these loans were not kept by the lenders who made them.  Rather, they were bundled together as securities and sold to investors, including banks.  As these loans reset to higher interest rates defaults increased and by the last half of 2007, banks began to suffer substantial losses on these securities.  Mortgage lenders responded by granting fewer of these “nonconforming” loans because they were becoming more difficult to sell to investors.  Lending requirements were tightened and the volume of loan applications declined.  In 2008, mortgage lenders are expected to continue to reduce payrolls as the more conservative lending policies remain in place.  Also, both banks and mortgage companies will probably cut payrolls to help make up for losses on mortgage investments.

 

The area’s largest mortgage company, PHH Mortgage, and the area’s largest commercial bank, Commerce Bank, are both slated to be acquired by other companies in 2008 and may sustain reorganization job losses after the mergers are completed.  Although the managements of both companies support the buyouts, both mergers are experiencing difficulties and it is possible that they may be delayed or fall through.  The parent of PHH Mortgage is slated to be acquired by GE Capital which will keep an unrelated division of the company and sell PHH Mortgage to The Blackstone Group, a private equity firm.  In September, Blackstone indicated that investment bankers JP Morgan Chase and Lehman Brothers cancelled commitments for $750-million in financing budgeted to fund the merger.  Blackstone says it still plans to go ahead with the deal if alternative financing can be arranged.  TD North has made an offer to buy Commerce Bank in a cash and stock deal.  Financial analysts and some stockholders have questioned whether the offer is too low.  Since the deal is subject to a vote by Commerce stockholders, the sale could be derailed if it does not receive a majority vote to proceed.  Also, other banks may enter the fray and offer to pay more for Commerce.

 

The Camden Labor Area’s unemployment rate is likely to remain near the state’s rate in 2008.  As the local economy expands, it should create sufficient job opportunities to accommodate most of those seeking work.  The labor area’s unemployment rate is likely to average in the 4.0 to 5.0 percent range.

 

It is possible that wage inflation pressures may increase if the supply of unemployed people that are seeking work continues to decline and competition among employers for qualified workers increases.  Salary pressures will probably be greatest for occupations in short supply including those requiring licensing or special skills.

 

For more information on the Camden Labor Area please contact Paul Bieksza, by email at pbieksza@dol.state.nj.us or call (609) 292-2742.

 

 

Ocean City Labor Area

Review of 2007 and Outlook for 2008

Cape May County

 

 

Nonfarm wage and salary employment in the Ocean City Labor Area increased to an averaged 45,800 during the first nine months of 2007, a gain of 500 jobs or 1.1 percent from the same period a year ago.  In a similar comparison, employment in the state increased by 0.5 percent.  Overall, the labor area has added 2,900 jobs since falling to a recession-induced 42,900 in 2002.  The labor area’s 6.8 percent employment advance since 2002 was more than twice the state’s 2.7 percent increase during the five-year period.

 

Cape May County’s over the year job gain was concentrated in the service-providing sector of the local economy as employment among goods producers was unchanged over the period.  Among service providers, the largest employment gain was posted in leisure and hospitality (+900), the county’s largest and most seasonally volatile industry sector. These new jobs were split almost equally between the amusement and recreation industry and the leisure and hospitality sector’s largest component -- accommodation and food services.   Employment within trade, transportation & utilities also advanced in 2007 (+400).  This year’s employment increase brought the total number of jobs created in this sector since 2003 to 800.  The most positive development for trade employment during 2007 was the June opening of a Wal-Mart discount department store along Route 9 in Middle Township. The store employs 300 workers during peak seasonal periods.  The most significant setback was the loss of 100 jobs due to the closing in July of a Stop and Shop supermarket in the Grande Shopping Center (Middle Township).

 

Although the labor area’s estimates of nonfarm employment are not sufficiently detailed to verify an over-the-year decline in construction payrolls, it is highly probable there were fewer jobs in this industry in 2007 compared to a year ago.   Based on residential building permit data through the first eight months of 2007, the number of housing units authorized for construction declined by 458 or 36.5 percent from the same period a year ago.

 

There also were significant declines in permits for both retail (-80.5%) and office space (-76.6%) construction in 2007.  Overall, the estimated cost of all permitted construction (residential and nonresidential) in Cape May County through the first seven months of 2007 was down by 18.5 percent from the same period a year ago – and by 28.1 percent from the same period of 2005.

 

The increase in Cape May County’s level of total nonfarm employment through the first nine months of the year helped reduce the county’s unemployment rate during 2007. Unemployment in the county averaged 6.4 percent through the first nine months of 2007, down from an average 6.8 percent for the same period a year ago.  In comparison, the state’s unemployment rate fell to an average 4.4 percent from 4.9 in 2006.  On average, the labor area’s unemployment rate tends to be higher than the state’s due to its seasonal swings in employment that largely are concentrated in its hospitality and other tourism-impacted industries.

 

Tourism, particularly summer tourism, remains the most critical part of the county’s economy.  Although an informal survey of tourist activity conducted by the New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development found another mixed bag of mid-season appraisals, favorable weather conditions that extended into October and another sharp increase in the number of Canadian vacationers left many resort business owners with positive opinions of the 2007 season.  More favorable currency rates, which kept the difference between the US and Canadian dollar to about five cents during the summer months, is seen as the primary reason for the steady increase in Canadian visitors the past several years.

 

However, in several of the county’s resort communities, vacancy rates for vacation rental properties and other lodgings continued to be above average during the summer of 2007.  While higher vacancy rates are at least partially a reflection of supply having grown faster than demand in recent years, they have largely remained an undercurrent to a strong pace of investment in the state’s shore real estate.  Indications that the recent rapid run-up in shore real estate values has peaked were evident in both 2006 and 2007.  Analysis of second-quarter 2007 housing prices by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia shows that the Ocean City Metropolitan Area (Cape May County) was the only metropolitan area in the Delaware Valley region to see home prices fall for the past year.

 

In the Wildwoods, the rise in property values resulted in the demolition of prime examples of the city’s unique art deco (or Doo-Wop) architecture -- often motels making way for condominiums.   Some believe that the rising number of amenity-laded condominiums, and the corresponding decline in the number of less expensive, more transient hotels and motels, is hurting the restaurant and entertainment trade. It may be that the Wildwoods are in a period of transition between its traditional, value-conscious past and its modern, pricier future.

 

Partially in response to the loss of these hotel and motel lodgings, and in an attempt to compliment the city’s new convention center, Wildwood officials have approved plans for at least six, high-rise hotel/condominium developments in the vicinity of the new center.  These planned developments, which feature several hundred hotel rooms and condominiums in 25-story structures, often adhere to the island’s doo-wop architectural style.  After initially denying approval for one of these high-rise developments, state officials issued guidelines in 2007 that outline criteria the city will have to meet to avoid future permit denials.  City officials indicate they are moving quickly to meet the state’s requirements.

 

In addition to these high-rise projects, there are other developments either under construction or making their way through the approval process that could create jobs and provide a boost to the county’s economy in 2007.   Work has begun in Lower Township on the Grand Resort and Spa; a 12-story building that will include 125 condominium units priced from $1 million to $4 million each.  In Cape May, Coachman’s Motor Inn will be demolished this fall to make way for the Ocean House, a 40-unit luxury condominium development.  The project, which also features a 190-seat restaurant, will be unique in that it will have 320 owners under an “equity” or “fractional” ownership arrangement – a concept that has been used successfully in other vacation hotspots.  And in North Wildwood, officials have moved a step closer to approving plans for a $175-million hotel/ indoor water park project by declaring an area across the Boardwalk from the city-owned Seaport Pier in need of redevelopment.   The development, which could open in 2010 and create 300-400 year round jobs, will feature a 16-story, 425-room hotel on the west side of the Boardwalk and a 90,000-sq.ft. water park on Seaport Pier.

 

Some new jobs are possible during the coming year, particularly in retail trade, health services and leisure and hospitality, but overall, the outlook for job creation and economic development in Cape May County during 2008 is not particularly strong.  Continued softness in residential and commercial construction is expected as the county attempts to absorb development that has occurred so far in the new millennium -- one of the strongest periods for economic development in county history.

 

For more information on the Ocean City Labor Area, please contact Chester Sherman, by e-mail at csherman@dol.state.nj.us or call 609-292-7281.

 

 

Salem Labor Area

Review of 2007 and Outlook for 2008

Salem County

 

Based on nine-month averages, total nonfarm wage and salary employment in Salem County increased to 24,000 in 2007, gaining 0.4 percent from the 23,900 of 2006. Over the same period (January to September) the state recorded a moderate gain of 0.5 percent.

 

The goods-producing sector added 100 jobs, with the natural resources, mining and construction component contributing the entire amount. The service-providing sector remained stable. Over the same period, retail trade, professional and business services, education, health and social services and government each added 100 jobs. Wholesale trade, information, financial activities and other services were unchanged while transportation, warehousing and utilities and leisure and hospitality lost 200 and 100 jobs, respectively.

 

Over the first nine months of 2007 the Salem County unemployment rate averaged 5.1 percent. The state’s average rate for this same period was 4.4 percent.

 

In 2008, the Salem Labor Area may experience modest employment growth. Even so, the area is not expected to add jobs at the same pace as the state. More companies are considering the county and as a result economic development has increased. J.E. Berkowitz, L.P, a leading privately-held glass fabricator, built its new $25 million 200,000-sq.ft. plant and offices at Gateway Business Park near Pedricktown in Oldman's Township. The company is the lead tenant at Salem County’s business park, located just off Exit 7 on Interstate295. Approximately 225 employees relocated with them from Westville in Gloucester County and 25 new employees were hired. The facility has already started expanding as of July and should boost manufacturing jobs in the county.

 

Work has resumed at The Riverwalk at Penns Grove after a delay of about a year. Ground for this project was broken in 2005. But after the bulkhead was built, work ceased because of various problems. A new developer, Seaboard LLC, has taken over the $65 million development. It will feature shops, offices, restaurants, a museum and more. Phase I should be completed in 2008 bringing 60 jobs to the area.

 

During the up-coming year, the utilities sector will see the construction of a two megawatt electric-generating facility in Alloway Township. Salem County Landfill Energy, LLC (SCLE), has signed an agreement with the Salem County Utilities Authority (SCUA) to develop, own and operate the facility that will produce electricity from landfill methane gas. SCLE plans to have the approximately $6 million electric generation project constructed and operating by the third quarter of 2008. The new facility will help move Salem County towards renewable energy possibilities.

 

Salem County Landfill Energy, LLC will also facilitate the delivery of landfill methane gas to the Salem County Community College’s Glass Education Center which will undergo a planned expansion in 2008. The Education Center is located adjacent to the generating facility. The Salem County Utilities Authority will spend $2 million to construct the Education Center for the College and develop the site. There is a planned 2008 opening for the expanded center. The two related projects will also aid construction employment in the labor area during the next several months.

 

For more information on the Salem Labor Area, please contact Bridget Brinson by e-mail at bridget.brinson@dol.state.nj.us or call (609) 292-0450.

 

 

Vineland/Millville/Bridgeton Labor Area

Review of 2007 and Outlook for 2008

Cumberland County

 

From January to September 2007 total nonfarm wage and salary employment in the Vineland/Millville/Bridgeton Labor Area increased slightly by 100 to reach a level of 63,000 jobs. Employment advanced each year between 2002 and 2005, declined in 2006 and rebounded slightly in 2007. The average number of jobs over the current nine month period increased 0.2 percent from 2006 compared with the state’s 0.5 percent.

 

All of the employment gain during 2007 was recorded in the private service-providing sector, which increased by 700 jobs. The other services and trade, transportation & utilities components each added the most jobs in this sector (+300), followed by educational and health services (+200). Professional and business services declined during the period, losing 100 jobs.

 

Education, health and social services has increased by 900 jobs since 2002, showing an over-the-year increase in four of the last five years and declining only in 2006. Other services trended upward as of 2003 with its largest jump during 2007.

 

The service-providing sector had an overall increase of 400 jobs while the public sector declined by 300 jobs. On the other hand, the goods-producing sector lost 300 jobs in the manufacturing supersector. Contributing to the loss was the closing of Lohmann Animal Health’s plant. The company consolidated operations at its headquarters in Winslow, Maine, and eliminated 37 jobs in Vineland during September 2007. Lohmann's parent company in Germany will assume most of the product manufacturing. Since 2004 manufacturing has contracted by 700 in the area.

 

On average, the jobless rate in the Vineland/Millville/Bridgeton Labor Area over the first nine months of 2007 was 6.7 percent, down from 7.3 percent a year ago. Similarly, the state’s unemployment rate dropped to 4.4 percent in 2007 from 4.9 percent in 2006.

 

The labor area’s growth should accelerate moderately in the coming year. With the opening of Thunderbolt Raceway Motorsports Park in Millville new employees are expected to be hired. Retail and manufacturing businesses coming to the area will create additional employment opportunities. The Motorsports Park is being hailed as the largest economic development project in Cumberland County’s history. Employment in leisure and hospitality is expected to increase by 200 permanent jobs during the first phase of the project’s development, scheduled for completion in the summer of 2008. More than 1,500 jobs should be added upon completion of the entire three phases of this project in 2011. Additionally, as companies that are ancillary to the Motorsports Park are attracted to the area, employment will increase. In addition, the availability of federal and state economic incentives will have a positive effect on attracting new businesses and new jobs to the labor area.

 

The three major cities in the Labor Area, Vineland, Millville, and Bridgeton along with Commercial Township in Cumberland County, were designated Federal Empowerment Zones in 1999. The Federal Empowerment Zone program targets the nation’s poorest areas, providing social service grants and incentives for businesses to locate to these areas. This program is expected to be in place through 2019. The zones were created to assist revitalization of economically challenged areas and as an incentive to attract new businesses which otherwise may not have come to the area.

 

Coming to the area in the spring and participating in the Empowerment Zone are a

Wawa convenience store and Omni Baking Company in Vineland (+80 jobs each) and New Jersey Ethanol in Bridgeton (+25 jobs). Increased business necessitated an addition to Omni Baking Company’s facility at the Airport Commerce Center.

 

The Cumberland Empowerment Zone Corporation (CEZC) administers the Empowerment Zone program in Cumberland County. The (CEZC) has many successes to its credit and is one of the top performing empowerment zones in the nation. CEZC investments in small businesses leverage private money. Banks and other investors then lend these same businesses additional money on the foundation of the CEZC loans. As a result, employment opportunities increase for zone residents. In order to receive CEZC funding businesses within the zone are required to hire 35% of local residents.

 

Construction employment will benefit by about 300 jobs during Phase I of the construction of the Motorsports Park in Millville and also because of residential development projects. Ground was broken in July 2007 on the $100 million Motorsports Park which will occupy 708 acres at the intersection of Buckshutem and Dividing Creek roads in the southeastern corner of the Millville Municipal Airport. Additionally, despite the subprime mortgage crisis in which foreclosures nationally climbed to record levels in 2007, building permits authorizing new privately owned housing units in the county are almost on par, 503 permits issued through August 2007, with those issued through August 2006 (539). The availability of undeveloped land in the county seems to be an asset at this time.

 

In the coming year jobs will most likely be added in retail trade, leisure and hospitality, construction and manufacturing. Among the businesses planning to open in the county are a Wal-Mart superstore along Delsea Drive and West Landis Avenue in Vineland spurring job growth in retail trade by creating between 200 and 300 new jobs by the last quarter of 2008.

Retail employment will also be boosted by two Walgreen Pharmacy stores in Vineland and Bridgeton and a new Rite Aid being built at the southeast corner of Sherman Avenue and Delsea Drive in Vineland. All of these new businesses should add a total of 100 jobs.

 

In addition to the federal Empowerment Zone program there is the state Urban Enterprise Zone (UEZ) program. Businesses that are already in or locating within the UEZ will benefit from a reduced sales tax, paying 50 percent of the present 7 percent sales tax rate on most items. The State makes a portion of the sales tax revenue available, in the form of grants, to the cities. These loans may be used to construct new or refurbish existing facilities within the zone. Businesses also benefit from grants and tax credits for on-the-job training, available through the State of New Jersey.

 

For more information on the Salem Labor Area, please contact Bridget Brinson by e-mail at bridget.brinson@dol.state.nj.us or call (609) 292-0450.